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dc.contributor.authorBijak, Jakub
dc.description.abstractThis open access book presents a ground-breaking approach to developing micro-foundations for demography and migration studies. It offers a unique and novel methodology for creating empirically grounded agent-based models of international migration – one of the most uncertain population processes and a top-priority policy area. The book discusses in detail the process of building a simulation model of migration, based on a population of intelligent, cognitive agents, their networks and institutions, all interacting with one another. The proposed model-based approach integrates behavioural and social theory with formal modelling, by embedding the interdisciplinary modelling process within a wider inductive framework based on the Bayesian statistical reasoning. Principles of uncertainty quantification are used to devise innovative computer-based simulations, and to learn about modelling the simulated individuals and the way they make decisions. The identified knowledge gaps are subsequently filled with information from dedicated laboratory experiments on cognitive aspects of human decision-making under uncertainty. In this way, the models are built iteratively, from the bottom up, filling an important epistemological gap in migration studies, and social sciences more broadly.
dc.relation.ispartofseriesMethodos Series
dc.rightsopen access
dc.subject.classificationbic Book Industry Communication::J Society & social sciences::JH Sociology & anthropology::JHB Sociology::JHBD Population & demography
dc.subject.classificationbic Book Industry Communication::J Society & social sciences::JH Sociology & anthropology::JHB Sociology::JHBC Social research & statistics
dc.subject.classificationbic Book Industry Communication::J Society & social sciences::JF Society & culture: general::JFF Social issues & processes::JFFN Migration, immigration & emigration
dc.subject.otherOpen access
dc.subject.otherAgent-based modelling
dc.subject.otherBayesian demography
dc.subject.otherMigration modelling
dc.subject.otherModel-based approaches
dc.subject.otherUncertainty quantification
dc.subject.otherForced migration
dc.subject.otherComputational experiments
dc.subject.otherModel calibration and sensitivity
dc.subject.otherFree access
dc.titleTowards Bayesian Model-Based Demography
dc.title.alternativeAgency, Complexity and Uncertainty in Migration Studies
oapen.relation.isFundedByH2020 European Research Council
oapen.imprintSpringer International Publishing
dc.relationisFundedByH2020 European Research Council

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open access
Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as open access