Vorhersagbarkeit konvektiver Niederschläge: Hochauflösende Ensemblesimulationen für Westafrika
During the West African Monsoon, convective systems generate the largest part of annual precipitation. We investigate their predictability by conducting high-resolution ensemble simulations with the COSMO model, focusing on the impact of the land surface. Are land-surface – atmosphere interactions in West Africa as important for precipitation forecasts as larger-scale conditions? What are the main physical processes?